Introduction ClearerThinking has a tool called ‘Calibrate Your Judgement’. In the tool, they provide points to help you judge how well you are doing. I personally found the points unhelpful, so just ignored it. However, I recently saw this paper by the creator of the tool, explaining the careful and detailed thought that went into creating the points system. Given this, I thought it would be useful for me to explain why I think the points are not good.
Update. I had a conversation with the creator of the tool, Spencer Greenberg. Here is a summary of that conversation and my thoughts after it. https://lovkush.substack.com/p/an-anecdotal-critique-of-clearerthinkings-f87